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Original macro research, scenario modelling, and portfolio strategy guides built for investors who want more than headlines.

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Macro Research

Stagflation vs Recession vs Rate Shock: Which is Actually Worst for Your Portfolio?

Three macro threats dominate investor nightmares. But they're not equally dangerous, and the order in which they hit matters. We modelled all three across five common portfolio types to find out which scenario causes the most lasting damage.

27 Mar 202512 min read
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All Research

Investor Guide

The Geopolitical Risk Playbook for Investors: 8 Scenarios to Model in 2025

Geopolitical risk has moved from background noise to a primary driver of market volatility. From US-China decoupling to Middle East supply disruption, here are the eight scenarios every investor should understand, and stress-test their portfolio against.

27 Mar 202515 min read
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Portfolio Strategy

2025 Portfolio Stress Test: How 5 Common Investor Profiles Hold Up Against Today's Key Risks

Most investors know they have risk, they just don't know what kind, or how much. We built five representative portfolios based on common retail investor profiles and stress-tested each against the four most likely macro scenarios for 2025. The results reveal some uncomfortable blind spots.

27 Mar 202514 min read
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